European Union to lag ‘six months behind’ UK economic recovery due to vaccine failure

EU recovery to be ‘six months behind’ world economy says expert

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Quintet Private Bank CIO Bill Street warned the European Union’s economic recovery could take six months longer than the UK as well as other nations. While speaking on CNBC, Mr Street noted that there was a clear link between how well a nation vaccinated its population and then opened its economy. He said, due to the EU’s slow vaccine rollout it will fall behind other nations which have been moving quickly with their inoculation programmes like the US and UK.

Mr Street said: “The news about the efficacy of the vaccine is great.

“But ultimately it all comes down to actual programmes of inoculation.

“What we are seeing here is that we have got the US and the UK that are motoring on incredibly efficiently.

“But we have this administration with a poor rollout in Europe.

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“The problem with that is that there is a high correlation between the inoculation or vaccination rate and opening up with a real economy.”

Mr Street added the EU could expect to suffer from weak consumer demand and employment issue as a consequence.

He continued: “It is difficult to see, in Europe, how quickly they are going to be able to open their economy.

“If anything they are going the opposite way compared to the UK and the US.

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“That will have a real impact on the real economy, for things like employment and consumer demand.

“We are cautious about the Euro bloc because it feels like it will be six months behind the rest of the world or at least the rest of the G10.”

Tensions have continued to bubble over as the European Union’s closest neighbour continues to have vaccine success.

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Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe at the Eurasia Group, said the EU’s slow rollout is part of the Commission’s “failures on health policy”.

She said: “Europe’s pandemic can be viewed through the Commission’s failures on health policy and its successes on economic policy.

“My sense is that it will be hard for the Commission to say that its failures on health mean it should have more control of Europe’s health policy.

“However, if the Covid recovery fund results in serious reform, that could be a catalyst for more European integration.”

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